Abstract Yingye Zheng¹ and Margaret Pepe¹,²

¹Fred Hutchinson Cancer Research Center, 1100 Fairview Avenue N., M2-B232 Seattle, WA 98109. ²Department of Biostatistics, University of Washington, Box 357232 Seattle, WA 98195.

Abstract:

Consider a gene expression array study comparing two groups of subjects where the goal is to explore a large number of genes in order to select for further investigation a subset that appear to be differently expressed. There has been much statistical research into the development of formal methods for designating genes as differentially expressed. These procedures control error rates such as the false detection rate or family wise error rate. We contend however that other statistical considerations are also relevant to the task of gene selection. These include the extent of differential expression and the strength of evidence for differential expression at a gene. Using real and simulated data we first demonstrate that a proper exploratory analysis should evaluate these aspects as well as decision rules that control error rates. We propose a new measure called the mp-value that quantifies strength of evidence for differential expression. The mp-values are calculated with a resampling based algorithm taking into account the multiplicity and dependence encountered in microarray data. In contrast to traditional p-values our mp-values do not depend on specification of a decision rule for their definition. They are simply descriptive in nature. We contrast the mp-values with multiple testing p-values in the context of data from a breast cancer prognosis study and from a simulation model.

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